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Conspiracy theories are only theories until they become conspiracy facts. The straws are blowing in the wind as this main-stream CNBC panel discusses the reasoning behind Germany’s gold repatriation. The Bundesbank (Central Bank of Germany) recently stated they have plans to move their gold held at other central banks back to the Father Land. This includes moving 374 tonnes from France’s Banque de France & 300 tonnes from the New York Federal Reserve Bank. Could it be that, as Pimco’s Bill Gross opined, that the central banks of the west are starting to lose faith in one another?
Author of Currency Wars, Jim Rickards explains that the Fed’s easing programs have thus far failed to create their desired inflation, which, in their view, is required to boost US exports. Although Japan will be allowed to weaken their currency, all the other currencies of the world will be strengthened as the US strives to further weaken the US dollar. Of course, gold is still the currency of choice to preserve wealth.
Expanding the discussion, Lauren Lyster interviews Jim Rickards, where he clarifies the Fed’s tactics:
The economy has failed to recover despite the Fed’s actions so far because the consumer has not been willing to spend or invest. Hence money velocity has remained nil.
The Fed is trying to induce more spending by: (1) Forcing a negative interest rate as an incentive for more borrowing, and (2) Scaring the public into buying stuff through the threat of future inflation.
The inflation, they hope, will be the result of all the currency wars with other nations, especially China – cheapening the dollar will make imports more expensive.
“It’s a race between the Fed trying to achieve their goals and the whole system imploading because of a loss of confidence in the dollar.”
Grant Williams, of Vulpes Investment Management, provides us with a brilliant presentation explaining how greed and fear play into the making of economic bubbles. After giving a few examples of historic bubbles of the past, Williams then goes on to describe two bubbles in the present. Spoiler alert!
Williams presents the latter two bubbles happening today as one nearing a collapse and the other in a “sweet spot” ready to enter the hyper-inflating mania phase.
“We have around 6 months left of trading in Western markets to protect ourselves,” according to Raoul Pal, founder of Global Macro Investor and former Goldman Sachs hedge fund manager. “The problem is not Government debt per se. The real problem is that the $70 trillion in G10 debt is the collateral for $700 trillion in derivatives.“ See entire presentation below.
It’s now more important than ever to protect your hard-earned wealth from being destroyed by inflation or even outright theft by financial and government institutions. Please see our Protect Your Assets series to learn about ways to secure your wealth in the coming economic collapse.
Update May 16, 2012: In contrast with Jim Willie’s speculation below, a much more renowned Jim Rickards has a much more probable thesis on the JP Morgan loss. The trade was actually a bet on the spread between the bond index and the bonds themselves. Time ran out, resulting in the loss. Read about it at USNews.
Here’s an interview with Jim Willie (TheGoldenJackass) discussing his speculation on what’s really going on regarding JP Morgan’s $2 billion dollar ‘whale trader’ loss. Jim speculates that JPM’s declaration that it involved European bond investments that have gone bad doesn’t make sense because in the last 6 weeks those bonds haven’t changed so much to warrant such huge losses. More likely, according to Jim, is that these losses are much larger and they reflect losses in the credit derivatives markets. Furthermore, eastern nations like China are likely causing the rout in precious metals because they’re forcing the western commercial banks to sell to cover these losses in the derivatives markets.